Yeah, he could prove to be a problem for Pat Crowley and Matt Jerzyk and the other ten progressives in this state.

I'm sure he's really sweating that. Like they're gonna vote for somebody else...

Laffey or bust.

Didn't see the interview so can't comment directly on Marc's take on Caprio (and don't know that much about him otherwise).

But as described, he might be able to give Laffey a real run for his money. In 2006 Laffey pandered to the illegal alien bloc, and if Caprio follows Carcieri's lead in this respect, and is otherwise fiscally responsible, he would be appealing to many (and even more so if he would take on the public sector unions).

Caprio worked with his union in cooperative spirit, and didn't feel the need to trash his employees every time he sat down in front of a microphone. Carcieri could've learned something from him.

Caprio can't win the Democrat primary in RI. The unions and the Democrat base will flock to Cicilline and Roberts. Look what happened to "fiscal conservative" incumbent Gov. Sundlun.

Besides, he doesn't have what it takes to really fix things. There's only one in RI who does. Yes jp, Laffy or bust -quite literally.

george,

you are looking at the basic fundamentals and your are 100% correct in your analysis.

George,
I diagree. If the liberal base flocks to Cicilline AND Roberts, Caprio probably will win. Caprio has to count on getting the left-wingers to split their votes. Caprio worst-case scenario is that Cicilline OR Roberts runs. He can't run one-on-one against a single well-funded liberal and expect to win. Caprio will do better with more people in the Democrat primary.

Beyond the primary, Caprio will be no doubt highlight his Harvard-educated economics degree in much the same way that Laffey highlights his Harvard MBA.

The campaign would be a great debate for students of economics.

Caprio wins a one-on-one against Roberts. The Democratic leadership and the good 'ol boys will not allow Roberts to win under any circumstances. They'd rather nominate a sandwich, then vote for Laffey.
Chafee is the real wild card in this race - he offers both Dems unhappy with the nominee AND Republicans unhappy with Laffey a place to park their votes.

As a Laffey supporter, I would warmly welcome Chafee into the race. He'll draw a lot more Dem votes and left leaning independents than Republican ones. Republicans, even most of his most ardent supporters in 2006 have had it with him. They're all walking around with a knife still in their backs.

George may have a point.

I think Caprio wins in a two-way race against Laffey and I don't see Laffey ever getting 50% of the vote in RI.

But in a three-way race, the situation becomes more intriguing.

If left-leaning independents (a big block of Rhode Islanders) bolt for Chafee, it hurts Caprio and might create the opportunity for someone with 30-40& of the overall vote to win.

More interesting, if it's a 3-way race with Laffey, Chafee and a liberal Democrat, Laffey would probably become the favorite to win.