Having followed the work of Providence Journal reporter Neil Downing for years, now, I’m confident that it was not a deliberate omission, but I can’t help but wonder why a particular factor contributing to economic malaise didn’t make it into his recent article about unemployment:
In the current recession — which began in late 2007, and is now in its fourth calendar year — people are often out of work for 6 to 12 months — “if they’re lucky to find a job,” [URI Professor Edward] Mazze said; many are out of work for more than a year — or longer, he said.
The main reason, Mazze said, is that “no jobs are really being created.” Partly because of high rates of foreclosures and consumer debt amid this recession, “businesses are afraid to spend because consumers are not spending,” Mazze said.
Businesses and consumers both are facing uncertainty not only because of the depth of the recession but because we’ve got a “transformative” regime running the country. Massive public debt. Looming changes to healthcare requirements. Environmental regulations appearing inevitable, whether Congressionally enacted or administratively implemented. And the list goes on.
In such an environment, planning for as-yet prospective demand is even riskier than usual.