The Republicans Most Unsatisfied with their Probable Nominee
National Review Online‘s Ramesh Ponnuru calls attention to a Pew Research Center for the People and the Press poll which gauged, amongst other things, which groups of Republican voters were most and least certain in their support for Mitt Romney between April 4th and 15th.
According to Pew’s survey of Republicans and Republican leaners, self-described conservatives weren’t the group least certain in their support of Romney. 82% of the respondents describing themselves as conservative expressed certainty that they would support Mitt Romney over President Barack Obama in the general election. And support was not highly-uncertain amongst Tea Partiers either, 89% of whom said they were certain to support Romney. (“Certain supporters” are defined in the poll as “those who back Romney and say there is no chance they will support Obama. Not certain are those who only lean toward Romney or say there is still a chance they will support Obama”).
No, Mitt Romney’s least certain support within the Republican party came from the self-described “moderates” and “liberals”, only 66% of whom say they are certain to support Romney in a General election. For not-Tea Party Republicans (who presumably overlap with the “moderate”/liberal crowd) the not-certain figure was 65%.
This puts a serious dent into the idea that Republican unity problems begin with conservative demands for a perfect candidate (which many folks who observe actual Republican politics and not just its caricature could have told you anyway).
By the way, this particular poll had Barack Obama beating Mitt Romney amongst everyone surveyed (including Democrats and independents) 49-45.