Why is anybody still listening to the media’s preferred epidemiological experts?
Jon Miltimore contrasts the rhetoric with the reality when the UK opened up earlier this summer, writing for the Foundation for Economic Education:
CNN described it as a “huge gamble,” while Labour Party leader Keir Starmer criticized the move as “a reckless free-for-all.” Neil Ferguson, professor of mathematical biology at Imperial College London, said it was “almost inevitable” the decision would result in 100,000 daily cases and one thousand hospitalizations per day, despite the presence of vaccines.
“The real question is do we get to double that – or even higher,” Ferguson told the BBC. “And that’s where the crystal ball starts to fail. I mean, we could get to 2,000 hospitalisations a day, 200,000 cases a day – but it’s much less certain.”
What happened? The opposite. Yeah, maybe cases will go back up… maybe it was just coincidence. But when the experts assert that something will happen and it doesn’t, it means they don’t know what they’re talking about, even if only because of variables outside the reach of their expertise.