Foreclosures Versus Student Enrollment
Speaking of questionable analysis, it is absolutely outrageous to me that anyone can get away with saying that significant drops in school enrollment in Central Falls and Providence are a result of the right-wing’s anti-immigrant activism in Rhode Island.Ian Donnis of Not for Nothing thinks that the theory is plausible. I’m not sure about the causal chain in Providence, but it’s hard to believe that foreclosures are having a big impact on student enrollment in Central Falls, unless you’re willing to accuse the Projo of some really sloppy journalism.
One word, people: FORECLOSURES.
In the August 16 Projo, Jennifer D. Jordan reported on the student enrollment decline…
In Central Falls, the state’s most heavily Hispanic school district, student enrollment numbers are down by more than 400….Currently, Central Falls enrollment stands at 3,050, down from its usual 3,500.And the number of foreclosures in the period leading up to the 2008-2009 school year? Well, the Projo gives us two figures for Central Falls to look at, compiled from data provided by Rhode Island Housing…
- Legally Noticed Foreclosure Initiations, Central Falls, April 2007-March 2008: 17
- Legally Noticed Foreclosures By Municipality, Central Falls, Q1 2008: 2
The foreclosure numbers for Providence are much higher, 609 in Q1 2008 alone, versus an enrollment drop of 1,700, but on the other hand, the community with the second largest reported number of foreclosures in Q1, Cranston with 155, has a student population that is holding steady, so there doesn’t seem to be much correlation between rates of foreclosure and drops in student enrollment, unless you believe that the Projo is missing a big chunk of data, that foreclosures increased by about a factor of 10 in Central Falls after April ’08, or that the average number of students living in a foreclosed home in Central Falls is somewhere in the vicinity of 20 or more.