Elected Official Performance Numbers from Brown (and the Justin Katz Senate Thesis)
If you aggregate the elected official job-performance results from Brown University’s May 18-20 Survey of registered Rhode Island voters into “favorable” categories of excellent and good, and “unfavorable” categories of fair and poor, a few interesting trends emerge…
- Governor Donald Carcieri would have a hard time getting elected to a third term (if he were eligible) with a 36%/59% split in the “favorable” versus “unfavorable” categories.
- Outside-of-the-Democratic party conventional wisdom has tended towards viewing Lieutenant Governor Elizabeth Roberts as having very little shot at becoming Governor, while at least some insiders regard her as a serious contender. The poll numbers seem to support the outside-of-the-party view, with a 22%/36% disadvantage for the Lieutenant Governor in the “favorable” versus “unfavorable” job-ratings. In sharp contrast, both General Treasurer Frank Caprio (41%/24%) and Attorney General Patrick Lynch (47%/39%) have a substantial advantage in their “favorable” categories. Lieutenant Governor Roberts does have more undecideds to work with than the others.
- Amongst respondents who have an opinion about him, Senator Sheldon Whitehouse is dead-even in the “favorable” versus “unfavorable” categories, 43%/43%. For an incumbent Rhode Island Senator, that is a surprisingly poor split — perhaps Justin’s rationale for voting for Senator Whitehouse is already starting to manifest itself!