I’d just about given up on it, but I thank the Providence Journal for publishing my letter regarding false adolescent-pregnancy research findings. For a more detailed version, see here.
[Open full post]You know I’m in a state of hopeless nonchalance when I use the word “alas,” but: Alas, I must admit that Robert Haiken of Warwick has put his finger on it:
The problem is no longer with the legislature. It is with the voters who keep sending the same people back to the legislature. We are reminded of that old definition of insanity — keep doing the same thing over and over and expect a different result.
Nothing will ever change.
Behind the scenes, we here at Anchor Rising indulge in deep conversations about the underlying causes of “Rhodapathy.” I’m a little reluctant to admit that the obvious seems always to resurface:
- Too many people feel personally connected, whether:
- They really are, or
- They merely know a guy who knows a guy whose daughter plays soccer with their nieces.
- Too many people are on the take, whether:
- They are receiving ludicrous benefits through the state’s union culture, or
- They are receiving ludicrous payouts as part of the state’s welfare programs.
- Too many people are ideologically bound to the status quo, whether
- They have to vote Democrat as a matter of psychotic compulsion, or
- They have to keep the statehouse pure blue because they dislike George Bush.
- Too many people can’t muster the interest to change things, whether
- They’re working so hard just to keep afloat that they can’t spare the effort, or
- They’re trapped in our peculiar fatalism that takes pride in accepting that this is just the way things are, here.
But I thank Mr. Haiken for his reminder that we can’t just insist that a corrupt system change itself. We have to boot the folks who make it corrupt.
[Open full post]{N.B. Here at Anchor Rising, we watch (or TiVo) the local Sunday morning shows so you don’t have to. Here is a transcript of this morning’s Channel 12 Newsmakers, hosted by Steve Aveson and also features Ian Donnis of the Providence Phoenix (who has a little more, here). I’ve offered a few (very few) comments of my own in italics}.
Guests:
Rep. Steve Costantino – Chair, House Finance Committee
Rep. Paul Crowley, Newport – Deputy Chair, House Finance Committee
Steve Aveson (SA) – [As far as the budget], we’re in a tough spot…we’ve hit the wall.
Steve Costantino (SC) – We have hit the wall. And if we were to pass this budget as is, putting aside whether there are some valid issues in the budget or not, the first day of July, 2009, we will have a $379 million deficit. So, although this budget is balanced, it really does very little in terms of looking at the structural problems we have with the budget. You can’t grow budgets at a certain level when your revenue is growing at a different level. And that’s pretty much where we are right now. Our revenue numbers are not sustaining the expenditures. So there has to be complete analysis of this budget. There are too many one time fixes in the budge, and when you have a one time fix, remember, you’ve lost the ability to use it in the out-years. So, if you have a $50 million, one time revenue item, you don’t have that in the next year. So now you have to find it and if you don’t have it terms of revenue growth, you have to go deeper in the expenditure side.
SA – In some degree, the Governor and you are kind of speaking the same tone. We’ve got problems, we’ve gotta solve the problems and we’ve got some specific ideas in mind. Paul, just give us the long view, after almost 27 years in the General Assembly, how is it that you think we get to this point today…
Paul Crowley (PC) – I think it’s basically that…We have a very hard time, when the revenues are coming in, to get people to accept the fact that there is a limit to what government can do. And when there’s money to be spent and programs can be expanded, like in good programs like RIte Care for young children, it’s hard to say, well, someday there’s going to be a limit as to what we as a state with a population of only a million people, how much revenue we can produce and how much government we can support. That’s an argument that people don’t want to hear. So it keeps kinda growing each year, each year and then finally, we hit the wall. Now, I think, what my great concern is that, not only are we facing this revenue issue–we’re facing the issue of government growing–but we’re also facing a significant change in our state’s population. We’re going to become an older state, so that all those people that have worked in this economy are going to become retirees of this economy. So it’s going to become a different kind of state and we better deal with that and question from the local level–not just the state level, from the local level–how much government can we afford, what can we ask them to do and how can we make it more efficient.
Here’s Republican pollster Frank Luntz, as quoted by syndicated columnist Robert Novak (via Townhall, h/t Instapundit)…
“The Republican message machine is a skeleton of its former self,” Luntz told me. “These people have no idea how the American people react to them.”
Luntz sees a disconnect between Republicans and voters that projects a grim future for the party. That contradicts what House and Senate Republicans are saying to each other in closed party conferences. While Luntz views 2006 election defeats as ominous portents, the party’s congressional leaders see only transitory setbacks and now dwell on bashing Democrats….
“The Republican Party that lost those historic elections was a tired, cranky shell of the articulate reformist, forward-thinking movement that was swept into office in 1994 on a wave of positive change,” Luntz wrote. He went on to say that the Republicans of 2006 “were an ethical morass, more interested in protecting their jobs than protecting the people they served. The 1994 Republicans came to ‘revolutionize’ Washington. Washington won.”
And here’s former Clinton political consultant Dick Morris as quoted by the Washington Examiner (h/t Drudge)…
No matter what happens, the situation in Iraq will “assure that the GOP gets massacred in 2008 congressional elections.” In 2010, the Republicans will take back the Congress — “Hillary will give Republicans the same gift she gave them in 1994” — and they’ll win the presidency in 2012, but thanks to demographic shifts favoring Democrats (namely the rising Hispanic and African-American populations), “that will be the last Republican president we’ll ever see.”Before the 2006 elections, you could find Republican strategists talking about how demography was going to guarantee a Republican majority into the future, since more babies are born in red states than in blue ones. Now, we’re seeing a wave of contrary predictions, ala Dick Morris, forecasting that Republicans are doomed to become nothing more than a regional party. That’s quite a switch in prognostication, more than should be discernable from the results of a single election. Either someone was wrong before, or someone is wrong now (or I suppose, everyone has been and continues to be wrong, all of the time!)
One thing seems pretty clear to me at this stage; Morris’ prediction stands a much better chance of coming true, if the National Republican Party continues its current strategy of totally writing off blue states in the northeast without a fight.
So who do you think is over-reacting, and who’s taking the long view? [Open full post]
Sounds to me like there may be a few nervous lawmakers up on the Hill:
Shudders, dread, curiosity — and what several lawmakers called sadness — permeated the State House yesterday amid warnings by the state’s top federal prosecutor that the John Celona influence-peddling scandal had already spawned “active” corruption investigations against seven other politicians and seven corporations.
“Is this as extensive as Plunder Dome?” asked WPRO radio host Ron St. Pierre in a reference to the infamous Providence City Hall corruption probe that sent former Mayor Vincent A. Cianci Jr. to federal prison.
“It’s bigger,” U.S. Attorney Robert Clarke Corrente responded during an on-air interview yesterday morning.
Yikes! And who could be involved?
Wandering in and out through the day, in a building where gossip and speculation are viewed as valuable commodities, State House denizens traded their lists of potential targets, which included lawmakers past and present and other prominent names in the political community.
“I know most of the people mentioned have been in the Senate,” said Fox. Still, “it does weigh on you — we are all human beings — who those seven politicians are. Obviously, everyone is speculating. But I have no idea who they may be, whether they are current, former or what. Or even if they are General Assembly members.”
But I’ll bet that they’re probably all Democrats. If I’m wrong, I’ll say so, but the basic demographics of RI’s political system would lead even the most naive, unpolitical citizen to figure that out. But we’ll see.
[Open full post]Wilfred McClay has a fascinating essay in today’s OpinionJournal on the subject of the future of sociology. Despite the apparently wonkish subject matter, McClay makes several observations that cut right to the heart of America’s domestic policy debates. Here’s the most important…
As Nathan Glazer has put it, [Seymour Martin Lipset] had a lifelong interest in how societies, guided by their histories, “set limits for their development that are difficult to transcend.”McClay’s observation is provocative, because I don’t think people (including perhaps Mr. McClay himself) fully realize how tightly contemporary liberals want to constrict the circle of freedom that Tocqueville describes, despite the fact that they believe in their hearts that they stand for the opposite.
Those words express one of the abiding themes of the “old” sociology: how the stubbornness of social forces circumscribes what is possible for us as individuals. Around every man, said Tocqueville, a fateful circle of freedom is drawn, beyond which that man ceases to be free. Such an observation is unwelcome in a culture that values the free individual above all else and imagines that all things should be possible.
The liberal attitude towards individual freedom has devolved into a belief that people should have freedom to behave as libertinely (or not) as they choose within their homes and in their personal lives, but beyond that, basic human interactions should be heavily regulated. Here’s my usual list of examples…
- Liberals believe that government, not parents, should pick the school a child goes to, i.e. liberals fiercely oppose reforming geographic monopoly school systems through the use of charter schools, vouchers, etc.
- Liberals believe that the practice of medicine should be socialized, so the government has a final veto on what treatments patients are allowed receive from their doctors. (That’s how “cost-control” works in a government-run universal healthcare system.)
- Liberals believe that government should take a large part of a person’s paycheck and place it in a compulsory retirement plan, rather than giving employees maximal control of their own retirement resources.
I think a large part of the polarization and the nastiness of our politics results from liberal inability to resolve the contradiction between their beliefs and their rhetoric with regards to individual freedom. Since they can’t resolve the contradiction, they settle for yelling real loud. [Open full post]
It was clear to me that in his piece on “Civic Conservatism” that Fonte was emphasizing civic conservatism (or American Patriotism or American Nationalism) as a “glue” that both holds the various types of conservatism together and can serve as an appealing ideological template with which to sway many independent or (ironically) non-ideological voters. As my post demonstrated, I agreed with this formulation for what it was. (His response to my post–which I didn’t see until Justin posted it–concerning how there should be an emphasis on American culture over that of the “other” is fine because I assumed that prioritization, even if I didn’t spell it out).
Justin’s critique of Fonte and his subsequent clarification can stand on its own. Now, to be honest, I initially took Justin’s use of the word “nationalism” to mean that of the European variety, but concluded that my initial reaction was due to my recent experience as a MA History student (in which one is continually exposed to the history and historiography of the what’s, how’s and why’s of the European brand of nationalism). Eventually, knowing Justin, I figured out that he was talking about the sort of American Nationalism that Fonte later described and equated with American Patriotism in his emailed response to Justin.
It never ceases to amaze me how one word and the assumptions made on how it is being used can lead to so much confusion among those who would otherwise agree. Thus, I can see how Fonte apparently made the same assumption about Justin’s use of “nationalism” as I initially did. But an argument over “nationalism” and “patriotism” wasn’t really Justin’s main point, anyway, as Justin has since explained. (But it is something I’d like to focus on for a bit. See the extended entry–below–for my digression).
Back to the point. Patriotism is fundamentally an emotional response, which is why it “stir[s] the blood.” Ultimately, Justin agreed with this (though he called it nationalism), but wanted to stress that the real “oomph” behind the conservative movement needs to be more than a reliance on emotion-based patriotism. A patriot also must understand why he feels the way he does when he sees the flag and hears the National Anthem. Conservatives understand that we aren’t patriotic “just because…” Rather, we are patriotic because we have learned and are continually reminded of the particular American philosophy, culture, and history that comprise and enable our shared American ideals. Indeed, behind the emotion is a whole lot of reason.
As Fonte wrote:
In terms of contemporary policy, civic conservatism emphasizes the following principles: the equality of American citizenship; the learning of America’s history and values, properly understood; the imperative of assimilating immigrants patriotically into the American way of life (what we proudly used to call Americanization); and the indivisibility of American sovereignty.
I agree that those general principles would be palatable to a variety of Americans. Yet, “civic conservatism” is really only the skin of the body conservative. The meat and bones are the conservative philosophy and the conservative interpretation of American culture and history.
Many Americans agree viscerally with the tenets of Fonte’s “civic conservatism,” but they can’t explain why. Most American’s are good people who don’t want to hurt or “impose their values” on others. Because of this, self-doubt about why they hold the values they do can creep in if they are confronted with unfounded and unpleasant charges of racism or bigotry. And such charges would surely be hurled their way if they say they support “Americanization” and “the equality of American citizenship.” Unable to defend their position, they will revert to their inherent “niceness” and go along to get along.
Average folks need to know that what the believe to be true and good really is. They need to know the “why.” Otherwise they’ll be shamed into abandoning the ideals and mores that they feel in their bones to be true. That is why it is incumbent on conservatives to explain that philosophy and history have shown that “Americanization” and “the equality of American citizenship” are beneficial to society and are meant to help all of its people. Simply saying “just because” isn’t enough.
In the end, while I recognize the value of Fonte’s “civic conservatism,” I agree with Justin that conservatives shouldn’t rely too much on it’s appeal for it’s own sake. Weightier essays in support of the agreed upon bullet points need to be at the ready so that a firmer traction can be established in the uphill battle against philosophical, cultural and historical naivete.
Somewhere in the hazy period Tuesday between leaving work early at lunch time and leaving Hasbro Children’s Hospital around 8:00 p.m., I read John Fonte’s emailed response to Anchor Rising’s commentary on his recent piece about “civic conservatism.” For most of the remainder of that day, the part of my brain not preoccupied with other things thought that Mr. Fonte must surely be right that I had let slip thoughts in which I don’t actually believe or of which I had been blissfully unaware. Now that I’ve reread my comments and his, I’m not entirely sure how I transformed into a sneering anti-patriot in his eyes. He writes:
On Marc Comtois comments.
I pretty much agree with everything he wrote. I would only emphasize that the ethnic-based or “other” group culture that Americans possess should be subordinate to the overall American civic culture and to political loyalty to the United States.
On Justin Katz comments.
First, I don’t suggest that “my conservatism is the conservatism.” What I do suggest is that “civic” conservatism is deeply rooted in American conservatism and can be a unifying force. In a National Review cover story on June 2, 2003 I called this civic conservatism–“patriotic conservatism”–and described this tendency as glue that unites most (not all) conservatives. I am not describing a universal conservatism, I am talking about an American conservatism. Without American patriotism and an American nation there is no American conservatism that makes sense. Mr. Katz apparently has a problem with George Washington’s Farewell Address (“to concentrate one’s affections”). Also, he apparently has a problem with traditional American patriotism, given his sneering reference to “nationalism.” Well American nationalism has traditionally meant support for the heritage of Washington and the Founding Fathers, of Daniel Webster, Abraham Lincoln, Calvin Coolidge and Ronald Reagan. Those who attempt to distinguish between American “patriotism” and American “nationalism” (which has never been blood and soil based, but philosophical, cultural, and historical)—play the game of an anti-patriotic impulse. An American conservatism that is devoid of Washington and Lincoln, is not an “American” conservatism that is recognizable to most Americans.
I apparently misread the degree to which Fonte believes that civic conservatism is somehow more fundamental than other conservatisms, and for that I apologize. In his paragraph:
True, most conservatives are fusionists, supporting limited government, traditional values, and strong national defense. But what stirs the blood?
I guess I mistook the “stirs the blood” phrase as applying to “most conservatives,” not just the handful who are more exclusively civic conservatives. Be that as it may, while I agree with George Washington’s prioritization, with respect to patriotic feelings, of the American nation over “local discriminations,” I disagree with the prioritization — implicit in Fonte’s categorical coinage — of the civic over the social, economic, and philosophical. If American patriotism centers around the “philosophical, cultural, and historical,” not the geographical, then conservatism ought to stir the blood based on those ideas.
I used the term “nationalism” not to invoke the bogeyman of Europe’s bloody, sectarian history, but to give an objective category to Fonte’s policy suggestions. If they are to be the policies under the “Civic” heading in American Conservatism’s platform, wonderful, but if they are to be conservatives’ leading edge, then I doubt that hearts and minds will be forthcoming. I support completely, for example, “the patriotic assimilation of immigrants without apology,” but I wonder how a person, let alone a movement, that is stirred less by culture than by national patriotism can argue with any force for a particular culture that those immigrants ought to be assimilated to.
To paraphrase Ambassador Jeanne Kirkpatrick, liberals have a distressing tendency to believe that the proper course of American foreign policy should be to punish allies and ignore enemies. Do you think that’s too harsh? Well, here’s the New York Times editorial board arguing for just that concept, explaining how America needs to ignore the actions of Iran while ratcheting up threats against the current government of Iraq in order to make progress in the Middle East (h/t Jonah Goldberg)…
We have no doubt about Iran’s malign intent, just as we have no doubt that Mr. Bush’s serial failures in Iraq have made it far easier for Tehran to sow chaos there and spread its influence in the wider region. But more threats and posturing are unlikely to get Iran to back down….No “threats and posturing” against the Iranians, sayeth the Times. After all, they’re the enemy. Apparently, “forceful” demands with “clear consequences” are only appropriate against an ally!
Iran certainly is helping arm and train Shiite militias. But the administration is certainly exaggerating the salutary effect of any cutoff as long as these militias enjoy the protection of Iraq’s prime minister, Nuri Kamal al-Maliki. If Mr. Bush is genuinely worried — and he should be — he needs to be as forceful in demanding that Mr. Maliki cut ties to these groups and clear about the consequences if he refuses.
This is not to say the Maliki government shouldn’t be held accountable for actions (or non-actions) that make the situation faced by ordinary Iraqis and by coalition forces in Iraq more difficult. But shouldn’t a rational American foreign policy be at least as hard on the government that openly says it wants to destroy us as it is on the government that is an ally, at least nominally? If not, then what’s the incentive for anyone to sign on as an American ally? [Open full post]
They’ve obviously got nothing worthwhile to do with their time:
Saying that Rhode Island consumers are being taken advantage of when they’re forced to pay surcharges for gift certificates, Rep. Stephen R. Ucci has introduced legislation that would prohibit businesses from charging any additional fees to gift cards or gift certificates.
“After certain regulations were put into place regarding the sale of gift cards, businesses started coming up with creative ways to make more money from consumers, including adding surcharges to gift cards,” said Representative Ucci, a Democrat who represents District 42 in Cranston and Johnston. “I really don’t see the rationale in having to pay a surcharge for a gift card that’s already been paid for in full, and this practice needs to stop.”
Why consumers can’t simply refuse to buy gift cards with surcharges, if the practice is so unfair, Ucci doesn’t explain. He is, however, fully within the spirit of the state legislature in trying to go the extra totalitarian mile on behalf of its constituents:
The legislation (2007-H 5105) builds upon current laws that prohibit all gift cards and certificates sold in Rhode Island, including prepaid long-distance calling cards, from coming with any strings attached, such as maintenance fees or expiration dates.
This is a small thing, I guess, but is it any wonder that businesses are leaving this state? The only thing that particular stores’ take-it-or-leave-it gift certificate policies are “taking advantage” of is our mindless, greedy laziness.
Sometimes I can’t shake the feeling that Rhode Island is run by all the nosy Uncle Steves up the street intent on proving that they really are important… self-appointed benevolent dictators of the neighborhood. “Gee, Bob, you shouldn’t have to park in front of the neighbor’s house. I’m going to get that out-of-state car towed away!” “What? There’s an expiration on this gift certificate? Martha, get my gavel!”