State of the State: James Lathrop for General Treasurer

By Richard August | October 23, 2022 |
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James Lathrop and Richard August on State of the State

Guest: James Lathrop, Candidate for General Treasurer, www.lathropforri.com
Host: Richard August
Description: The discussion begins with a review of state and federal pensions and cost of living adjustments and how they are managed in the Treasurer’s Office. Lathrop suggests a more fair way of giving COLAs to those retired. Discussion includes how investment gains are applied and reported; unfunded liabilities; cost of living and cost of doing business in Rhode Island; and more. “I am really about the finances” stresses Lathrop and he asserts that his public service financial management experience suits him best for the position of General Treasures.

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Parents in School and the Nuclear Option

By John Loughlin | October 22, 2022 |
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Cooling towers at Brayton Point

 

Heritage Action Director of Communications Noah Weinrich on parents’ role in schools, and Flibe Energy’s Kirk Sorensen on the possible role for nuclear in power supply.

 

Featured image by Justin Katz.

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Rhode Island is doing especially badly with boys’ education.

By Justin Katz | October 21, 2022 |
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Boy in a library

From time to time, I get in a little spat with some well-meaning progressive on social media that reminds me of something I figured out decades ago but periodically forget:  In the belief system of many (most?) progressives, no machinery is required between intent and achievement.  Wanting to help people means making it a law to provide the most-direct assistance possible.  Fear of unintended consequences and suggestions that we’ll get better results with indirect assistance or cultural mechanisms cannot be intellectually honest but are mere rationalizations for hatefulness.

This approach doesn’t work.  In fact, it makes things worse.  To the extent progressives acknowledge consequences, they insist that they will be borne by those who are unfairly privileged and who can, therefore, afford to take the hit.  This is also not what actually happens.

What sparked the above ruminations was a table in a Brookings report on the education gap between girls and boys showing Rhode Island with the seventh worst gap in the country.  You can bet that if the sexes were reversed, we’d be hearing about this constantly during this election season, especially with Democrat Governor Dan McKee apparently hiding test scores until after all the votes are in.

But males are the designated privileged aggressors, so the progressive mind cannot process the gap.  Boys are advantaged in our patriarchy, they may think, so it’s appropriate that girls have an edge in school.  Some perhaps believe, deep down, if not consciously, that this is simply justice on behalf of all the girls in history who were not afforded education at all.

Let’s turn our attention to Rhode Island’s hidden test scores.  Even if they’re no worse than they’ve been for decades, they’ll be horrible.  Elementary and secondary education is among the most progressively run institutions in our country, so it is therefore failing.  Rhode Island does worse, and our relatively bad results for boys are an indication of the ideology that’s causing the failure.

You can be sure, moreover, that were we to dig into the numbers, those doing the worst would be the boys who are already the most vulnerable.  Again, the progressive approach doesn’t work.

 

Featured image by Redd on Unsplash.

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Can the U.S. Survive the Madness of Its Politics?

By Justin Katz | October 20, 2022 |
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Crazy Eggs

As the election approaches, we’re moving into another crazy period during which social media becomes the equivalent of youth sports sidelines, with parents shouting out absurdly aggressive claims as if nothing their children do can be wrong while the other team’s children are apparently villainous delinquents.  Here are three examples in order of the risk that they’ll get me in trouble for pointing them out.

Justin Boyan tweets that Biden is safest

I don’t want to pick on this particular Twitter user, but his statement is made so succinctly that it’s helpfully representative.  His sentiment is simply an assertion contradictory to reality.  Democrats may want it to be true, but it is precisely the sort of passive denial of facts that results in genocides. There’s a reason Biden’s people are working to ensure he doesn’t come into direct contact with Putin.  He’s weak, frail, and not all there, so his handlers must ensure that nobody truly hostile can observe the makeup, choreography, scripting, handling, and coverups in person because a weak marionette in the role we used to call “the leader of the free world” would encourage escalation and violence.

People can hate Donald Trump.  They can despise everything Republicans believe.  But we can’t afford to be deluded about these international affairs, because doing so could get hundreds of millions of people killed.  Although I’d disagree, one could reasonably say that Donald Trump’s negatives overpowered his positives, but it’s simply a fact that the world was relatively peaceful while he was president.  For crying out loud, the crisis in the Middle East was approaching resolution more than at any period in my lifetime.  North Korea was also the least aggressive I’ve ever seen it.  I doubt it was so, but if love letters from were able to accomplish such things, I’ll volunteer to write a few.  The key is that the dangerous and evil recipients must be aware that the leaders sending them will be firm and strong when it matters.

The second topic along these lines where social media rhetoric has become nuts has to do with the economy.  Democrat General Treasurer Seth Magaziner has been particularly egregious in this regard (considering that he should know better as the treasurer and as somebody with an extremely expensive private school and Ivy League education), but this retweet from Democrat State Representative Michelle McGaw caught my eye:

Michelle McGaw tweets on corporate profits

Unpacking all of the ignorance and/or deception in Porter’s video would take much more space than allotted for this post — from the questionable approach of averaging the components of price increases over half a century and comparing them with a single year to the recitation of a progressive activist think tank’s analysis as if it’s a simple presentation of facts.  (We’ll never be able to have a real, objective understanding of an issue if this is how it’s done.)

The key point, though, Porter and McGaw smuggle in with the word “driver.”  Corporate profits are not “driving” inflation; if corporations could do that, prices would always grow.  Something else is driving the increase in prices, and for the time being that shows as “profits” to businesses, inasmuch as “profit” is simply revenue minus expenses.

This is simply how economics works.  The level of demand interacts with the level of supply, compared with every other good and service on the market, to generate a price corresponding with a quantity.  If demand increases or supply decreases, the price will naturally go up, which signals to everybody that there is profit to be made by shifting toward an area in which there’s a shortage.  If politicians demagogue and stamp out the profits, that signal will never be sent, and the shortage will remain or worsen.

The final example of political madness I’ve seen is by far the most sensitive about which to write, but it’s important to notice and discuss.  Observe the following tweet from Democrat Representative Marcia Ranglin, combined with another in which she makes clear the importance of abortion in her advocacy.  Especially considering that Ranglin was not long ago caught up in a controversy for allegedly calling another black legislator a “house slave,” just a little bit of distance raises the question, “What in the world is going on here?”

Marcia Ranglin tweets on Seth Magaziner

While I disagree with the progressive premise, Seth Magaziner is walking, talking evidence of white privilege, if there is such a thing, having attended an elite private school with annual tuition to rival many colleges and then Brown University, and having an estimated net worth in the millions at the young age of 39 (with eight of those years spent as a “public servant”).  Yet, Ranglin insists she must actively work to further his political career in large part because he supports a practice that disproportionately kills black children by a huge margin.

How can a civilization survive when it chooses its leaders on the basis of such thinking?

 

Featured image by Tengyart on Unsplash.

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Politics this Week with John DePetro: McKee’s Redneck Rhode Island

By Justin Katz | October 17, 2022 |
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A junk car in a yard

On WNRI 1380 AM/95.1 FM, John DePetro and Justin Katz discuss:

  • Hidden test scores
  • Two governor debates
  • Two polls
  • Jack Reed puts a toe in the mud

 

Featured image by Christopher Windus on Unsplash.

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State of the State: Aaron Guckian for Lieutenant Governor

By Darlene D'Arezzo | October 16, 2022 |
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Aaron Guckian and Darlene D'Arezzo on State of the State

Aaron Guckian for Lt. Governor (10/11/22) from John Carlevale on Vimeo.

Guest: Aaron Guckian , Candidate for Lt. Governor, www.guckianforltgov.com
Host: Darlene D’Arezzo
Description: Guckian asserts that qualifications matter in the Lt. Governor’s race before he begins his review of his work experience whiles explaining his view of the office and his fit and goals. Part of the job is meeting with the people and agencies the Lt. Gov. oversees. He points out that Sabina Matos has been characteristically absent from these. In response to how he compares and contrasts himself with Matos, Guckian shows his past experience and familiarity with the workings of government as a distinct advantage. A message he repeats: “Matos doesn’t show up!” “She is not here.”

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Republicans and Other Independent Candidates and Health Professionals

By John Loughlin | October 15, 2022 |
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An elephant leans beside a ditch

 

Featured image by David Clode on Unsplash.

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We’re watching our children be messed up in real time.

By Justin Katz | October 14, 2022 |
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A confused girl

Every couple of years, the Rhode Island Department of Health (RIDOH) conducts a voluntary, anonymous survey of students at a limited number of randomly selected (presumably public) high schools in the state for its Youth Risk Behavior Survey (YRBS).   Given the methodology, the results ought to come with a long list of caveats, chief among them being that the sample numbers are small and the schools selected randomly might not be representative.  That said, a few things stand out in the 2021 edition just released.

According to Question 19 of the detail tables, for example, 11 out of 60 girls 18 or older — nearly one in five — claims to have “been physically forced to have sexual intercourse when they did not want to.”  That is, they were raped.  Broadening to the larger group of all 12th grade girls, 37 out of 235 (one in six) say the same.  Is that a credible claim?  Keep the specifics in mind: this isn’t about unwanted emotional pressure; it’s about the use of physical force.

Observe that the survey finds that only around half of 18-year-old or 12th grade girls say they’ve had intercourse at all.  That would mean about 40% of all senior girls who have had sex were raped.  Again: is that a credible claim?  Or is our culture creating a tendency among girls to claim that they were raped?

A question on racism raises similar complications.  Question 95 asks, “During your life, how often have you felt that you were treated badly or unfairly in school because of your race or ethnicity?”  Here are the percentages saying “never” by race:

  • Asian: 40%
  • Black: 44%
  • Hispanic/Latino: 55%
  • White: 85%

Given familiar rhetoric, let’s take a moment to appreciate that the numbers of young Rhode Islanders who say they’ve had zero experience of racism are as high as they are.  If we add “rarely” to the numbers, they become 66%, 68%, 78%, and 95%.  We hear again and again from Democrats and progressives that our society is “systemically racist.”  If that’s the case, young Rhode Islanders aren’t picking up on it much.

On the other end of the spectrum, here are the percentages of students who answered the above question with “always” or “most of the time”:

  • Asian: 4%
  • Black: 11%
  • Hispanic/Latino: 6%
  • White: 2%

Obviously, we want these numbers to be as close to zero as possible, but we can’t lose sight of the possibility that we’re conditioning children to interpret their interactions in terms of demographic identity.

Consider that this iteration of the survey changed the racism question.  In 2019, it was: “During the past 12 months, have you ever been the victim of teasing or name calling because of your race or ethnic background?”  Asked this more-specific question, 86% of black students, 82% of Hispanic students, and 93% of white students said, “No.”  Why did the question change?  Could it be that people involved in public education and public policy are determined to find results to support their ideological assumptions?

This brings us to the inevitable transgender question.  The shock-number is that (again) nearly one in five girls 18 or older is unable to say with confidence that she is not transgender.  For reinforcement of the hypothesis that our culture and schools are merely sowing confusion, refer back to the 2019 survey.  At that time 94% of girls were willing to say, “no.”  Of particular note is that, over these two years, girls surpassed boys in these responses, with the boys, who were more likely than girls to be confused in 2019, only mildly moving toward gender confusion.

And if you want a capstone observation for this post, let’s note that among children overall, black students appear to be relatively immune to transgenderism.

The first conclusion one should probably draw from this survey is that it’s a bunch of junk that tells us nothing very useful about actual student health.  The second is that the hot cultural issues of our time could very well be built on fads and illusion.  This point is important to consider as society tears itself apart along racial line and argues about whether to normalize the mutilation of adolescent and pre-adolescent children based on subjective identity.

 

Featured image by Taylor Deas-Melesh on Unsplash.

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Basically, McKee thinks Rhode Islanders are the rednecks of New England.

By Justin Katz | October 13, 2022 |
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A water drop and ripples

Whatever your political affiliation, you should recognize that Democrat Governor Dan McKee’s “you’re not from here” attack ad on Republican Ashley Kalus is dark and disgusting:

Even if we ignore that it is 100% ad hominem, the ad is demeaning to Rhode Islanders, as if we’re a bunch of hicks who don’t care about reason and policy, but really just care whether you’re in our clique.  Of course, McKee is running ads like this because, along with most Rhode Island Democrats, he wants voters not to judge him based on reason, policy, and proven records.

I’ve seen a lot that bothers me about Rhode Island politics in the last 25 years, but this ad actually physically nauseates me.

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COVID propaganda could be a great communications lesson (but probably won’t be at URI).

By Justin Katz | October 13, 2022 |
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A scale

Professor Renee Hobbs specializes in media literacy education for the University of Rhode Island Harrington School of Communication and Media.  This tweet of hers therefore struck me as indicative of misplaced focus:

Renee Hobbs tweets on Paxlovid

An important note of specificity is needed:  Paxlovid skepticism is only a communication failure for those who wish to promote it (for profit, public health, or political reasons).  Being communications literate would mean being able to discern the incentives and assess the validity of the information provided so as to form a conclusion about whether to believe the rhetoric.  That is, the person receiving communication is literate when he or she can accurately assess what is being communicated, how it is being communicated, why it is being communicated, and whether the proposition deserves assent in light of all that.

Observing that the source of the chart is the New York Times, for instance, immediately alerts the viewer to its probable bias.  A communication-literate person will also notice that Hobbs insists that “people in red states” are dying because they are not taking Paxlovid.  Maybe that’s true, and maybe it’s not, but the chart offers evidence that is one step removed from her assertion.

Hobbs makes multiple assumptions.  For one thing, she takes it for given that Paxlovid prevents death reliably. For another, she implicitly assumes that the cases are similar across all states.  If, for example, more people in red states have extremely mild COVID while populations in blue states have a worse experience, they might take Paxlovid less and still have better fatality results.  Demographics would make a difference here, too, with older populations skewing the results.

Once we acknowledge these assumptions, another key observation is necessary.  Three states skew the trendline massively: Vermont, Rhode Island, and Massachusetts.   Remove them, and the slope of the trendline at the extremes would drop by 50% or more.  Maybe those three states are just more susceptible to propaganda, without regard to the results.  They’re also very small, geographically, so maybe that played a role.

Or (here’s a Democrat gut-check for you) maybe what we’re observing is bias in distribution.  Vermont, Rhode Island, and Massachusetts are small, extremely Democrat-voting states.  Maybe that affects the relative amount of Paxlovid they’ve got to distribute, or the subsidies to distribute it.  Could the Biden Administration and/or woke pharmaceutical companies be depriving red states of life-saving medicine?  I’m not implying that to be the case, but breaking out of an ideological bubble, it has to be asked.

In summary, this turns out to be a complicated question that would be edifying for college students to explore.  Rhode Islanders and prospective URI communications students would do well to ask themselves whether Professor Hobbs (along with her entire department) is capable of extricating herself from her political and ideological biases to help students benefit by this educational opportunity or (if we acknowledge the difficulty of such objectivity) whether URI cultivates diversity of opinion among professors that provides students counterpoints.

Personally, I expect not, which is why I, as a URI alum and Rhode Island resident, have been happy to steer my children away from the university and would suggest that other Rhode Island parents do the same.

 

Featured image by Elena Mozhvilo on Unsplash.

 

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